• darkcalling@lemmygrad.ml
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    2 days ago

    China is trying hard to give the US a slow decline. They’ve taken direct hits themselves because they want to avoid the confrontation. This would result in a hard decoupling of the US. What would really matter is if India stands with Russia as the US can’t afford to attack both. Their supply chains for drugs and electronics would cease to function.

    What I worry will happen instead is this passes, the president has authority on how to implement and can grant waivers, they use it very harshly on China, exempt broad swathes of India and use it as a cudgel to beat on Europe further and force them into their orbit and into reliance on their expensive energy imports as well as beating on other countries that want to align with BRICS and Russia and China specifically and thus hastening the formation of a bloc system with increasingly high barriers to trade and India probably allowed to play neutral if they continue to help the west with reshoring from China to India.

    So that’s my issue, there’s almost always discretion and waivers so in practice it would likely be used as an attack on China. They might even given individual Chinese companies waivers to attempt to pressure them to ensure they don’t use Russian products or energy and some Chinese firms would absolutely take that deal to keep the US market.

    So while I don’t think this would make the US implode overnight from sanctioning everyone I do think it passing would be a real win to the war hawk freaks like Graham (one of the closest human beings to being some sort of demon who gets off only on suffering and pain and war) who are also proponents of a hard decoupling and a dramatic near-term confrontation with China and thus a sign of things to come in terms of US policy and intent towards a hard decoupling with China, formation of bloc system, cold war 2.0, then pick off and attempt to destroy the smaller parties in the China/Russia bloc with coups, direct wars/proxy wars, sanctions, color revolutions, etc to isolate, encircle, turn up the heat and destroy them.

    They may also think they can engineer a sino-soviet type split between Russia and China but they’re absolute fools for that. This won’t cause that. If anyone is going to split it will be Russia from China as frankly they have more to gain and as a capitalist nation pushing increasingly reactionary culture on their people means they’ll see some difference between themselves and China.

    • Orcinus@lemmygrad.ml
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      2 days ago

      As soon as I began reading the second paragraph, I knew it was you posting this. I appreciate your interesting takes.

      • darkcalling@lemmygrad.ml
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        2 days ago

        Thanks comrade. Hopefully it’s the ideas and not because of my weird writing style though I guess it could be that too. That or the spelling mistakes…

  • KrasnaiaZvezda@lemmygrad.ml
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    2 days ago

    Wasn’t there a deal between the usa and China about the tarifs that should last for a couple months more? How will this relate to that and will China take such a breach meekily like Russia or not?

    • ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆@lemmygrad.mlOP
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      2 days ago

      This is the big question, the US already had to pull back from their 145% tariffs on China, and these 500% tariffs would primarily target China and India. How is this supposed to work?

  • Commiejones@lemmygrad.ml
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    3 days ago

    If Lindsey Graham’s bill were to pass, it would cause an economic calamity on a scale never before seen in our country

    doooo iiiiit. If there is one thing america’s government in 2025 has done consistently it is shoot themselves in the foot.