Canada has more land mass than the US does. Perhaps Trump should be talking about integrating the US into Canada (and doing away with the now-redundant US Presidential position).

Chance he cancels or significantly delays election: 3%

The bird flu is starting to look like it could be a serious threat. Given that he already attempted an insurrection once, I wouldn’t put it past him to intentionally turn it into another pandemic, then generously decide that this time he’s going to take it seriously and lock everything down in 2028 (while simultaneously banning all states from using mail-in ballots).